The discussion continues on the nuclear threat from Russia and how to eliminate the threat entirely or to strategically prepare for the possibility of tactical nukes.
There's "no win" in a nuclear war, and I greatly fear for the Ukrainian people if Russia was to use tactical nukes.
The discussion continues on the nuclear threat from Russia and how to eliminate the threat entirely or to strategically prepare for the possibility of tactical nukes.
There's "no win" in a nuclear war, and I greatly fear for the Ukrainian people if Russia was to use tactical nukes.
Came across this news this morning.
Israeli intelligence firm ImageSat International (ISI) said they had detected an "irregular presence" of Russian TU-160 and TU-95 strategic bombers at the Olenya Airbase near Finland. Satellite photos taken by the company revealed the presence of four TU-160s at the base on August 21 and three TU-95s on September 25th. The TU-160s one TU-95s are capable of carrying cruise missiles and strategic nuclear weapons.
There is large debate on how serious Putin is about using nuclear if backed into a corner.
Vladimir Putin has sent a fleet of bombers to a military base housing a large supply of nuclear weapons, sparking fears of World War 3. The Russian President has upped the stakes in his war in Ukraine, after illegally annexing four new provinces. During a carefully choreographed ceremony in Moscow, Putin announced on Friday that the regions of Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson and Zaporizhzhia would now be formally considered part of Russia.
I keep looking for a regression in rhetoric, but the rhetoric only seems to be escalating. It's not even saber-rattling, it's just profoundly concerning.
Came across this news this morning.
[quote] Israeli intelligence firm ImageSat International (ISI) said they had detected an "irregular presence" of Russian TU-160 and TU-95 strategic bombers at the Olenya Airbase near Finland. Satellite photos taken by the company revealed the presence of four TU-160s at the base on August 21 and three TU-95s on September 25th. The TU-160s one TU-95s are capable of carrying cruise missiles and strategic nuclear weapons. [/quote]
There is large debate on how serious Putin is about using nuclear if backed into a corner.
[quote] Vladimir Putin has sent a fleet of bombers to a military base housing a large supply of nuclear weapons, sparking fears of [url=https://www.express.co.uk/latest/world-war-3]World War 3[/url]. The [url=https://www.express.co.uk/latest/vladimir-putin]Russian President[/url] has upped the stakes in his war in [url=https://www.express.co.uk/latest/ukraine]Ukraine[/url], after illegally annexing four new provinces. During a carefully choreographed ceremony in Moscow, Putin announced on Friday that the regions of Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson and Zaporizhzhia would now be formally considered part of Russia. [/quote]
I keep looking for a regression in rhetoric, but the rhetoric only seems to be escalating. It's not even saber-rattling, it's just profoundly concerning.
I didn't even know this technology existed? Did you? Is this really real?
NATO has warned that Russian president Vladimir Putin has mobilised the terrifying Poseidon nuclear submarine which is capable of drowning entire cities in radioactive tsunamis. An intelligence note sent to NATO countries warned the K-329 Belgorod
[size= 12pt]I didn't even know this technology existed? Did you? Is this really real?[/size]
[quote] NATO has warned that [url=https://www.dailystar.co.uk/latest/vladimir-putin]Russian president Vladimir Putin[/url] has mobilised the terrifying Poseidon nuclear submarine which is capable of drowning entire cities in radioactive tsunamis. An intelligence note sent to NATO countries warned the K-329 Belgorod [/quote]
A mathematical view of chances of a nuclear war.
My estimate is 30% x 80% x 70% ~ 1/6, as illustrated in the figure and explained below. The horizontal axis roughly corresponds to levels of escalation, while the vertical axis corresponds to how favorable outcomes are to the two sides.
This link also includes a declassified map of nuclear targets.
1100 Declassified U.S. Nuclear Targets
I thought the mention of what countries would be hit and what country has the most chance of survival of nuclear war was interesting. *Note- South America, Southern Africa and Oceania will be the most powerful post-war economies.
Many detailed estimates of nuclear war impact have been published in the academic literature. Xia et al (Nature Food, 3, 586–596, 2022) estimate that nuclear winter would kill about 99% of all Russians, Americans, Europeans and Chinese, with the most powerful post-war remaining economies being in South America, Southern Africa and Oceania. However, more work is needed to reduce uncertainties e.g. targeting scenarios, black carbon smoke production and lofting.
A mathematical view of chances of a nuclear war.
[quote] [size= 12pt]My estimate is 30% x 80% x 70% ~ 1/6, as illustrated in the figure and explained below. The horizontal axis roughly corresponds to levels of escalation, while the vertical axis corresponds to how favorable outcomes are to the two sides.[/size] [/quote] [size= 12pt]
This link also includes a declassified map of nuclear targets.[/size]
1100 Declassified U.S. Nuclear Targets
[size= 12pt]I thought the mention of what countries would be hit and what country has the most chance of survival of nuclear war was interesting. *Note- South America, Southern Africa and Oceania [i]will be the most powerful post-war economies.[/i][/size]
[quote] [size= 12pt]Many detailed estimates of nuclear war impact have been published in the academic literature. [url=https://www.nature.com/articles/s43016-022-00573-0]Xia et al[/url] (Nature Food, [b] 3[/b], 586–596, 2022) estimate that [url=https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=haab11D7ECs]nuclear winter[/url] would kill about 99% of all Russians, Americans, Europeans and Chinese, with [i]the most powerful post-war remaining economies being in South [/i] [i]America, Southern Africa and Oceania[/i]. However, more work is needed to reduce uncertainties e.g. targeting scenarios, black carbon smoke production and lofting.[/size] [/quote]
Chinese leader Xi Jinping made his most direct criticism yet Vladimir Putin’s war on Ukraine on Friday, warning the Russian president not to resort to nuclear weapons and calling on visiting German Chancellor Olaf Scholz to push for peace talks.
Someone needs to reach Putin and have this conversation.
[quote] [size= 12pt]Chinese leader Xi Jinping made his most direct criticism yet Vladimir Putin’s war on Ukraine on Friday, warning the Russian president not to resort to nuclear weapons and calling on visiting German Chancellor Olaf Scholz to push for peace talks.[/size] [/quote]
[size= 12pt]Someone needs to reach Putin and have this conversation.[/size]
Putin warns NATO of Russia's unstoppable missiles.
Hypersonic missiles are designed to be virtually unstoppable and are capable of flying at least five times the speed of sound. The US, Russia, and China are locked in a global arms race to develop hypersonic weapons.
I'm still very concerned that there will be an escalation this month in Ukraine.
Putin warns NATO of Russia's unstoppable missiles.
Hypersonic missiles are designed to be virtually unstoppable and are capable of flying at least five times the speed of sound. The US, Russia, and China are locked in a global arms race to develop hypersonic weapons.
I'm still very concerned that there will be an escalation this month in Ukraine.
“President Biden has a detailed scenario of this war in the White House.The sooner we get weapons the sooner we finish the war, but it looks like the U.S. wants Russia to exhaust itself with all of its war efforts,” Zhdanov told The Daily Beast. “In Russia they now have a cult of death: on all levels, from propagandists to the Orthodox Patriarch, Russians are called to go and die in this war, as their grandfathers died in previous wars.”
An ally of President Vladimir Putin warned NATO on Thursday that a defeat of Russia in Ukraine could trigger a nuclear war, while the head of the Russian Orthodox Church said the world would end if the West tried to destroy Russia.
The Kremlin today bluntly threatened use of nuclear weapons in the wake of theUkrainian drone strike on Moscow'sskyscraper zone.
Three drones struck an elite office building and residential skyscraper in Moscow early Sunday morning in what Russia's Defence Ministry has branded an 'attempted terrorist attack by the Kyiv regime'.
DmitryMedvedev, a former Russian president and Putin ally, has warned there is 'simply no other way out' and said that Kyiv should 'pray to our warriors' that they do not 'allow the global nuclear fire to flare up'.
The Kremlin today bluntly threatened use of nuclear weapons in the wake of theUkrainian drone strike on Moscow'sskyscraper zone.
Three drones struck an elite office building and residential skyscraper in Moscow early Sunday morning in what Russia's Defence Ministry has branded an 'attempted terrorist attack by the Kyiv regime'.
DmitryMedvedev, a former Russian president and Putin ally, has warned there is 'simply no other way out' and said that Kyiv should 'pray to our warriors' that they do not 'allow the global nuclear fire to flare up'. [/quote]
The Russian dictator told a conference in Sochi,"From the moment the launch of missiles is detected, no matter where itcomes from — from any point of the world ocean or from any territory — such a number, so many hundreds of our missiles appear in the air in a retaliatory strike that there is no chance of survival there will be no single enemy left, and in several directions at once."
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